West Virginia’s total coal production for 2026 above 78 million short tons
Above 78 million short tons is priced at 55¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 27¢ bid, 50¢ ask, 23¢ spread. This outcome ranks #4 of 7 inside Will West Virginia’s total coal production for 2026 be above.
Price history
55¢ current
−3¢Contract brief
If EIA reports West Virginia’s total coal production for calendar year 2026 is above 78 million short tons, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Above 78 million short tons
Rank
#4 of 7
Leader
Above 72 million short tons 95¢
Range
4¢-95¢
Family volume
$4K
Identifier
KXWVCOAL-27APR01-T78
Aug 24, 2026, 3:08 AM UTC · 0m ago
Implied probability
Bid
27¢
Ask
50¢
Spread
23¢
24h volume
$1K
Family rank
#4 of 7
7 outcomes · Will West Virginia’s total coal production for 2026 be above
Closes
Apr 1, 2027
Family volume
$4K
Orderbook snapshot
27 / 50¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If EIA reports West Virginia’s total coal production for calendar year 2026 is above 78 million short tons, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Apr 1, 2027
Identifier
KXWVCOAL-27APR01-T78
Event family
Will West Virginia’s total coal production for 2026 be above.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$4K
Outcomes
7
Highest price
Above 72 million short tons 95¢
Current share
31%
Above 72 million short tons
kalshi · KXWVCOAL-27APR01-T72
Above 74 million short tons
kalshi · KXWVCOAL-27APR01-T74
Above 76 million short tons
kalshi · KXWVCOAL-27APR01-T76
Above 78 million short tons
kalshi · KXWVCOAL-27APR01-T78
Above 80 million short tons
kalshi · KXWVCOAL-27APR01-T80
Above 82 million short tons
kalshi · KXWVCOAL-27APR01-T82
Above 84 million short tons
kalshi · KXWVCOAL-27APR01-T84
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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Event Probability API
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.