Wisconsin's annual-average manufacturing employment for 2026 above 452,500 jobs
Above 452,500 jobs is priced at 80¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 81¢ bid, 82¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 7 inside Will Wisconsin's annual-average manufacturing employment for 2026 be above 4.
Price history
80¢ current
+49¢Contract brief
If the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reports that Wisconsin's annual-average manufacturing employment for 2026 is above 452,500 jobs, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Above 452,500 jobs
Rank
#3 of 7
Leader
Above 447,500 jobs 97¢
Range
6¢-97¢
Family volume
$15K
Identifier
KXWIMFGEMP-27APR30-T452500
Aug 24, 2026, 3:08 AM UTC · 10m ago
Implied probability
Bid
81¢
Ask
82¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$3K
Family rank
#3 of 7
7 outcomes · Will Wisconsin's annual-average manufacturing employment for 2026 be above 4
Closes
Apr 30, 2027
Family volume
$15K
Orderbook snapshot
81 / 82¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reports that Wisconsin's annual-average manufacturing employment for 2026 is above 452,500 jobs, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Apr 30, 2027
Identifier
KXWIMFGEMP-27APR30-T452500
Event family
Will Wisconsin's annual-average manufacturing employment for 2026 be above 4.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$15K
Outcomes
7
Highest price
Above 447,500 jobs 97¢
Current share
21%
Above 447,500 jobs
kalshi · KXWIMFGEMP-27APR30-T447500
Above 450,000 jobs
kalshi · KXWIMFGEMP-27APR30-T450000
Above 452,500 jobs
kalshi · KXWIMFGEMP-27APR30-T452500
Above 455,000 jobs
kalshi · KXWIMFGEMP-27APR30-T455000
Above 457,500 jobs
kalshi · KXWIMFGEMP-27APR30-T457500
Above 460,000 jobs
kalshi · KXWIMFGEMP-27APR30-T460000
Above 462,500 jobs
kalshi · KXWIMFGEMP-27APR30-T462500
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.