Zack Wheeler · KXMLBNLCPOTY-26
Zack Wheeler is priced at 84¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 84¢ bid, 85¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 10 inside KXMLBNLCPOTY-26.
Price history
84¢ current
+15¢Contract brief
If Zack Wheeler wins the Pro Baseball National League Comeback Player of the Year in the 2026 season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Zack Wheeler
Rank
#1 of 10
Leader
Zack Wheeler 78¢
Range
1¢-78¢
Family volume
$215
Identifier
KXMLBNLCPOTY-26-ZWHE
Sep 20, 2026, 9:08 PM UTC · 23m ago
Implied probability
Bid
84¢
Ask
85¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$114
Family rank
#1 of 10
10 outcomes · KXMLBNLCPOTY-26
Closes
Dec 8, 2026
Family volume
$215
Orderbook snapshot
84 / 85¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Zack Wheeler wins the Pro Baseball National League Comeback Player of the Year in the 2026 season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Dec 8, 2026
Identifier
KXMLBNLCPOTY-26-ZWHE
Event family
KXMLBNLCPOTY-26.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$215
Outcomes
10
Highest price
Zack Wheeler 78¢
Current share
44%
Zack Wheeler
kalshi · KXMLBNLCPOTY-26-ZWHE
Ezequiel Tovar
kalshi · KXMLBNLCPOTY-26-ETOV
Michael Harris II
kalshi · KXMLBNLCPOTY-26-MHAR
Sean Manaea
kalshi · KXMLBNLCPOTY-26-SMAN
Shota Imanaga
kalshi · KXMLBNLCPOTY-26-SIMA
Tie/Co-Winners
kalshi · KXMLBNLCPOTY-26-TIE
O’Neil Cruz
kalshi · KXMLBNLCPOTY-26-OCRU
Brandon Woodruff
kalshi · KXMLBNLCPOTY-26-BWOO
Sandy Alcantara
kalshi · KXMLBNLCPOTY-26-SALC
Tanner Scott
kalshi · KXMLBNLCPOTY-26-TSCO
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.568
Observability
high
Event type
sports
Full indicator table
Odds pages
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 84% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.