Zeke · KXHURRICANENAMES-26DEC01EPAC
Zeke is priced at 10¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 7¢ bid, 13¢ ask, 6¢ spread. This outcome ranks #10 of 16 inside KXHURRICANENAMES-26DEC01EPAC.
Price history
10¢ current
+8¢Contract brief
If a storm named Zeke is a storm categorized as a hurricane in the Eastern Pacific between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Zeke
Rank
#10 of 16
Leader
Fausto 97¢
Range
1¢-97¢
Family volume
$41
Identifier
KXHURRICANENAMES-26DEC01EPAC-ZEK
Jul 21, 2026, 1:08 PM UTC · 15m ago
Implied probability
Bid
7¢
Ask
13¢
Spread
6¢
Reported volume
$1
Family rank
#10 of 16
16 outcomes · KXHURRICANENAMES-26DEC01EPAC
Closes
Dec 1, 2026
Family volume
$41
Orderbook snapshot
7 / 13¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If a storm named Zeke is a storm categorized as a hurricane in the Eastern Pacific between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Dec 1, 2026
Identifier
KXHURRICANENAMES-26DEC01EPAC-ZEK
Event family
KXHURRICANENAMES-26DEC01EPAC.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$41
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Fausto 97¢
Current share
0%
Fausto
kalshi · KXHURRICANENAMES-26DEC01EPAC-FAU
Karina
kalshi · KXHURRICANENAMES-26DEC01EPAC-KAR
Lowell
kalshi · KXHURRICANENAMES-26DEC01EPAC-LOW
Norbert
kalshi · KXHURRICANENAMES-26DEC01EPAC-NOR
Marie
kalshi · KXHURRICANENAMES-26DEC01EPAC-MAR
Rachel
kalshi · KXHURRICANENAMES-26DEC01EPAC-RAC
Cristina
kalshi · KXHURRICANENAMES-26DEC01EPAC-CRI
Winnie
kalshi · KXHURRICANENAMES-26DEC01EPAC-WIN
Xavier
kalshi · KXHURRICANENAMES-26DEC01EPAC-XAV
Zeke
kalshi · KXHURRICANENAMES-26DEC01EPAC-ZEK
Genevieve
kalshi · KXHURRICANENAMES-26DEC01EPAC-GEN
Elida
kalshi · KXHURRICANENAMES-26DEC01EPAC-ELI
Hernan
kalshi · KXHURRICANENAMES-26DEC01EPAC-HER
Amanda
kalshi · KXHURRICANENAMES-26DEC01EPAC-AMA
Boris
kalshi · KXHURRICANENAMES-26DEC01EPAC-BOR
Douglas
kalshi · KXHURRICANENAMES-26DEC01EPAC-DOU
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
taker
Score
0.636
Observability
direct
Event type
weather
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
Filter adjacent contracts by volume, expiry, IY, CRI, venue, and theme.
Event Probability API
Read 10% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.