Women's Pro Basketball Semifinals Qualifiers
Las Vegas is priced at 77¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 45¢ bid, 77¢ ask, 32¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 12 inside Women's Pro Basketball Semifinals Qualifiers.
Price history
77¢ current
+7¢Contract brief
If Las Vegas qualifies for the 2026 Women's Pro Basketball Semifinals, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Las Vegas
Rank
#3 of 12
Leader
Minnesota 84¢
Range
20¢-84¢
Family volume
$29
Identifier
KXWNBASEMIFINAL-26-LV
Jul 12, 2026, 12:38 AM UTC · 56m ago
Implied probability
Bid
45¢
Ask
77¢
Spread
32¢
24h volume
$5
Family rank
#3 of 12
12 outcomes · Women's Pro Basketball Semifinals Qualifiers
Closes
Nov 1, 2026
Family volume
$29
Orderbook snapshot
45 / 77¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Las Vegas qualifies for the 2026 Women's Pro Basketball Semifinals, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Nov 1, 2026
Identifier
KXWNBASEMIFINAL-26-LV
Event family
Women's Pro Basketball Semifinals Qualifiers.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$29
Outcomes
12
Highest price
Minnesota 84¢
Current share
17%
Minnesota
kalshi · KXWNBASEMIFINAL-26-MIN
Connecticut
kalshi · KXWNBASEMIFINAL-26-CONN
Las Vegas
kalshi · KXWNBASEMIFINAL-26-LV
Phoenix
kalshi · KXWNBASEMIFINAL-26-PHX
Washington
kalshi · KXWNBASEMIFINAL-26-WSH
New York
kalshi · KXWNBASEMIFINAL-26-NY
Golden State
kalshi · KXWNBASEMIFINAL-26-GS
Los Angeles
kalshi · KXWNBASEMIFINAL-26-LA
Seattle
kalshi · KXWNBASEMIFINAL-26-SEA
Atlanta
kalshi · KXWNBASEMIFINAL-26-ATL
Dallas
kalshi · KXWNBASEMIFINAL-26-DAL
Indiana
kalshi · KXWNBASEMIFINAL-26-IND
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 77% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.