2027 Best Actor Oscar nominations
John Turturro is priced at 15¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 9¢ bid, 14¢ ask, 5¢ spread. This outcome ranks #11 of 16 inside 2027 Best Actor Oscar nominations.
Price history
15¢ current
−17¢Contract brief
If John Turturro has been nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
John Turturro
Rank
#11 of 16
Leader
Matt Damon 86¢
Range
1¢-86¢
Family volume
$1K
Identifier
KXOSCARNOMACTO-27-JOHN
Jul 16, 2026, 3:08 PM UTC · 50m ago
Implied probability
Bid
9¢
Ask
14¢
Spread
5¢
24h volume
$32
Family rank
#11 of 16
16 outcomes · 2027 Best Actor Oscar nominations
Closes
Dec 31, 2027
Family volume
$1K
Orderbook snapshot
9 / 14¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If John Turturro has been nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Dec 31, 2027
Identifier
KXOSCARNOMACTO-27-JOHN
Event family
2027 Best Actor Oscar nominations.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$1K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Matt Damon 86¢
Current share
2%
Matt Damon
kalshi · KXOSCARNOMACTO-27-MAT
Tom Cruise
kalshi · KXOSCARNOMACTO-27-TOM
John Malkovich
kalshi · KXOSCARNOMACTO-27-JOH
Ryan Gosling
kalshi · KXOSCARNOMACTO-27-RYA
Sebastian Stan
kalshi · KXOSCARNOMACTO-27-SEB
Andrew Scott
kalshi · KXOSCARNOMACTO-27-AND
Pedro Pascal
kalshi · KXOSCARNOMACTO-27-PED
Jaafar Jackson
kalshi · KXOSCARNOMACTO-27-JAA
Timothée Chalamet
kalshi · KXOSCARNOMACTO-27-TIM
Dominic Sessa
kalshi · KXOSCARNOMACTO-27-DOM
John Turturro
kalshi · KXOSCARNOMACTO-27-JOHN
Jeremy Strong
kalshi · KXOSCARNOMACTO-27-JER
Channing Tatum
kalshi · KXOSCARNOMACTO-27-CHAN
Javier Bardem
kalshi · KXOSCARNOMACTO-27-JAVI
Josh O'Connor
kalshi · KXOSCARNOMACTO-27-JOS
Charles Melton
kalshi · KXOSCARNOMACTO-27-CHA
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
maker
Score
0.295
Observability
none
Event type
cultural
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.