2027 Best Animated Feature Film Oscar nominations?
Prediction markets currently give a 85% probability that 2027 Best Animated Feature Film Oscar nominations?. This contract trades at 85¢ on Kalshi, closing December 31, 2027. This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero volume and open interest despite a substantial 8¢ spread, suggesting minimal trader interest in predicting Hoppers' Oscar nomination prospects over the next 624 days.
Analysis
This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero volume and open interest despite a substantial 8¢ spread, suggesting minimal trader interest in predicting Hoppers' Oscar nomination prospects over the next 624 days. The dramatic 7-day price surge from 43¢ to 81¢ contrasts sharply with the current 0¢ display price, indicating potential data inconsistency or a recent sharp reversal that warrants verification. The asymmetric implied yields (13.7% for Yes vs. 249.5% for No) reflect the wide bid-ask gap and illiquidity rather than genuine market conviction, making this an unreliable indicator for actual nomination probability at this early stage.
Resolution rules
If Hoppers has been nominated for Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXOSCARNOMSBANIMATEDF-27-HOP yes 100