Before 2027 · Will Congress
Before 2027 is priced at 15¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 12¢ bid, 15¢ ask, 3¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 2 inside Will Congress.
Price history
15¢ current
+8¢Contract brief
If Congress successfully overrides a presidential veto before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Before 2027
Rank
#2 of 2
Leader
Before Jan 20, 2029 27¢
Range
12¢-27¢
Family volume
$3
Identifier
KXVETOOVERRIDE-29JAN20-27
May 24, 2026, 2:08 PM UTC · 10m ago
Implied probability
Bid
12¢
Ask
15¢
Spread
3¢
24h volume
$3
Family rank
#2 of 2
2 outcomes · Will Congress
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Family volume
$3
Orderbook snapshot
12 / 15¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Congress successfully overrides a presidential veto before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Identifier
KXVETOOVERRIDE-29JAN20-27
Event family
Will Congress.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$3
Outcomes
2
Highest price
Before Jan 20, 2029 27¢
Current share
100%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.409
Observability
medium
Event type
political
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.