Argentina wins by more than 1.5 goals
Argentina wins by more than 1.5 goals is priced at 61¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 60¢ bid, 62¢ ask, 2¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 4 inside KXWCSPREAD-26JUN27JORARG.
Price history
61¢ current
+19¢Contract brief
If Argentina wins by more than 1.5 goals in the Jordan vs Argentina professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 27, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Argentina wins by more than 1.5 goals
Rank
#1 of 4
Leader
Argentina wins by more than 1.5 goals 60¢
Range
1¢-60¢
Family volume
$60K
Identifier
KXWCSPREAD-26JUN27JORARG-ARG2
Jun 25, 2026, 7:08 AM UTC · 18m ago
Implied probability
Bid
60¢
Ask
62¢
Spread
2¢
24h volume
$30K
Family rank
#1 of 4
4 outcomes · KXWCSPREAD-26JUN27JORARG
Closes
Jul 12, 2026
Family volume
$60K
Orderbook snapshot
60 / 62¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Argentina wins by more than 1.5 goals in the Jordan vs Argentina professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 27, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 12, 2026
Identifier
KXWCSPREAD-26JUN27JORARG-ARG2
Event family
KXWCSPREAD-26JUN27JORARG.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$60K
Outcomes
4
Highest price
Argentina wins by more than 1.5 goals 60¢
Current share
51%
Argentina wins by more than 1.5 goals
kalshi · KXWCSPREAD-26JUN27JORARG-ARG2
Argentina wins by more than 2.5 goals
kalshi · KXWCSPREAD-26JUN27JORARG-ARG3
Jordan wins by more than 2.5 goals
kalshi · KXWCSPREAD-26JUN27JORARG-JOR3
Jordan wins by more than 1.5 goals
kalshi · KXWCSPREAD-26JUN27JORARG-JOR2
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Odds pages
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Event Probability API
Read 61% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.