Belgium wins by more than 1.5 goals in the 1st Half
Belgium wins the 1H by more than 1.5 goals is priced at 33¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 30¢ bid, 32¢ ask, 2¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 2 inside KXWC1HSPREAD-26JUN26NZLBEL.
Price history
33¢ current
+31¢Contract brief
If Belgium win by more than 1.5 goals in the 1st Half of the New Zealand vs Belgium professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Belgium wins the 1H by more than 1.5 goals
Rank
#1 of 2
Leader
Belgium wins the 1H by more than 1.5 goals 30¢
Range
2¢-30¢
Family volume
$771
Identifier
KXWC1HSPREAD-26JUN26NZLBEL-BEL2
Jun 25, 2026, 3:08 PM UTC · 2m ago
Implied probability
Bid
30¢
Ask
32¢
Spread
2¢
24h volume
$771
Family rank
#1 of 2
2 outcomes · KXWC1HSPREAD-26JUN26NZLBEL
Closes
Jul 11, 2026
Family volume
$771
Orderbook snapshot
30 / 32¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Belgium win by more than 1.5 goals in the 1st Half of the New Zealand vs Belgium professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 11, 2026
Identifier
KXWC1HSPREAD-26JUN26NZLBEL-BEL2
Event family
KXWC1HSPREAD-26JUN26NZLBEL.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$771
Outcomes
2
Highest price
Belgium wins the 1H by more than 1.5 goals 30¢
Current share
100%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.