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$60,000 or above · Bitcoin price on Jul 3, 2026?: $

$60,000 or above is priced at 55¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 56¢ bid, 58¢ ask, 2¢ spread. This outcome ranks #9 of 16 inside Bitcoin price on Jul 3, 2026?: $.

Price history

55¢ current

+12¢
40¢50¢60¢
Jun 26, 2026Jun 27, 2026

Contract brief

If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) before 5 PM EDT is above 59999.99 at 5 PM EDT on Jul 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

$60,000 or above

Rank

#9 of 16

Leader

$55,000 or above 89¢

Range

2¢-89¢

Family volume

$238K

Identifier

KXBTCD-26JUL0317-T59999.99

Jun 27, 2026, 10:08 AM UTC · 4m ago

Implied probability

55¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 27, 2026, 10:08 AM UTC · 4m ago

Bid

56¢

Ask

58¢

Spread

24h volume

$36K

Family rank

#9 of 16

16 outcomes · Bitcoin price on Jul 3, 2026?: $

Closes

Jul 3, 2026

Family volume

$238K

Orderbook snapshot

56 / 58¢

Kalshi
2¢ spread
BidSize
56¢284
55¢1.5K
54¢5.0K
53¢754
50¢1.7K
AskSize
58¢734
59¢5.2K
60¢751
61¢377

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) before 5 PM EDT is above 59999.99 at 5 PM EDT on Jul 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jul 3, 2026

Identifier

KXBTCD-26JUL0317-T59999.99

SF Signal
SF Index
6662.63
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

CRI

1

VR

0.67

IAR

2.9/h

Overround

23.1%

LAS

0.04

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

1
VR
0.67
IAR
2.9/h
Overround
23.1%
LAS
0.04

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.