SimpleFunctions

$61,500 or above · Bitcoin price on Jun 26, 2026?: $

$61,500 or above is priced at 67¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 65¢ bid, 66¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #7 of 16 inside Bitcoin price on Jun 26, 2026?: $.

Price history

67¢ current

+1¢
75¢
Jun 19, 2026Jun 23, 2026

Contract brief

If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) before 5 PM EDT is above 61499.99 at 5 PM EDT on Jun 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

$61,500 or above

Rank

#7 of 16

Leader

$57,000 or above 96¢

Range

1¢-96¢

Family volume

$326K

Identifier

KXBTCD-26JUN2617-T61499.99

Jun 23, 2026, 5:08 PM UTC · 4m ago

Implied probability

67¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 23, 2026, 5:08 PM UTC · 4m ago

Bid

65¢

Ask

66¢

Spread

24h volume

$11K

Family rank

#7 of 16

16 outcomes · Bitcoin price on Jun 26, 2026?: $

Closes

Jun 26, 2026

Family volume

$326K

Orderbook snapshot

65 / 66¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
65¢34
64¢5.4K
63¢2.0K
62¢406
61¢450
AskSize
66¢300
67¢572
68¢1.4K
69¢1.0K
70¢5.0K

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) before 5 PM EDT is above 61499.99 at 5 PM EDT on Jun 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jun 26, 2026

Identifier

KXBTCD-26JUN2617-T61499.99

SF Signal
SF Index
21114.15
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

CRI

2

VR

0.67

IAR

2.5/h

Overround

20.0%

LAS

0.02

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

2
VR
0.67
IAR
2.5/h
Overround
20.0%
LAS
0.02

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.