Markets · Category
Commodities Prediction Markets
Live Kalshi prediction-market contracts classified under Commodities. This page is the per-category canonical entry — for the full mixed-venue index see /markets, or use /screen for interactive filters.
What this hub contains: every Kalshi contract whose category field equals “Commodities”. What it does not contain: Polymarket contracts (their venue does not currently classify into this taxonomy) and questions aggregated across multiple contracts (see /odds).
Live contracts
552
Venue
Kalshi
Refresh
5 min
Top markets in Commodities
Sorted by 24-hour USD volume. Each row links to the per-market page with the full indicator stack.
Showing top 20 of 552 markets in this hub.
Other categories
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: 11 May 2026 17:53:55 GMT.
Per-question aggregates
Cross-venue questions that bind Kalshi and Polymarket contracts. /odds →
Filter and explore
IY, CRI, τ, RV/VR/IAR cuts on every active market. /screen →
Per-venue view
All markets on a single exchange. /markets/venue/kalshi →