Chicago wins by over 17.5 points
Chicago wins by over 17.5 points is priced at 15¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 3¢ bid, 33¢ ask, 30¢ spread. This outcome ranks #11 of 16 inside KXNFLSPREAD-26SEP13CHICAR.
Price history
15¢ current
+11¢Contract brief
If Chicago wins by more than 17.5 points in the Chicago vs Carolina Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Chicago wins by over 17.5 points
Rank
#11 of 16
Leader
Chicago wins by over 2.5 points 51¢
Range
3¢-51¢
Family volume
$767
Identifier
KXNFLSPREAD-26SEP13CHICAR-CHI18
Aug 10, 2026, 9:38 AM UTC · 59m ago
Implied probability
Bid
3¢
Ask
33¢
Spread
30¢
24h volume
$10
Family rank
#11 of 16
16 outcomes · KXNFLSPREAD-26SEP13CHICAR
Closes
Sep 15, 2026
Family volume
$767
Orderbook snapshot
3 / 33¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Chicago wins by more than 17.5 points in the Chicago vs Carolina Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Sep 15, 2026
Identifier
KXNFLSPREAD-26SEP13CHICAR-CHI18
Event family
KXNFLSPREAD-26SEP13CHICAR.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$767
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Chicago wins by over 2.5 points 51¢
Current share
1%
Chicago wins by over 2.5 points
kalshi · KXNFLSPREAD-26SEP13CHICAR-CHI3
Chicago wins by over 3.5 points
kalshi · KXNFLSPREAD-26SEP13CHICAR-CHI4
Carolina wins by over 2.5 points
kalshi · KXNFLSPREAD-26SEP13CHICAR-CAR3
Carolina wins by over 1.5 points
kalshi · KXNFLSPREAD-26SEP13CHICAR-CAR2
Carolina wins by over 3.5 points
kalshi · KXNFLSPREAD-26SEP13CHICAR-CAR4
Carolina wins by over 4.5 points
kalshi · KXNFLSPREAD-26SEP13CHICAR-CAR5
Carolina wins by over 5.5 points
kalshi · KXNFLSPREAD-26SEP13CHICAR-CAR6
Carolina wins by over 6.5 points
kalshi · KXNFLSPREAD-26SEP13CHICAR-CAR7
Chicago wins by over 14.5 points
kalshi · KXNFLSPREAD-26SEP13CHICAR-CHI15
Carolina wins by over 9.5 points
kalshi · KXNFLSPREAD-26SEP13CHICAR-CAR10
Chicago wins by over 20.5 points
kalshi · KXNFLSPREAD-26SEP13CHICAR-CHI21
Chicago wins by over 17.5 points
kalshi · KXNFLSPREAD-26SEP13CHICAR-CHI18
Carolina wins by over 10.5 points
kalshi · KXNFLSPREAD-26SEP13CHICAR-CAR11
Carolina wins by over 13.5 points
kalshi · KXNFLSPREAD-26SEP13CHICAR-CAR14
Carolina wins by over 14.5 points
kalshi · KXNFLSPREAD-26SEP13CHICAR-CAR15
Chicago wins by over 16.5 points
kalshi · KXNFLSPREAD-26SEP13CHICAR-CHI17
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
taker
Score
0.636
Observability
direct
Event type
sports
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.