Chicago wins by over 2.5 points
Chicago wins by over 2.5 points is priced at 46¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 43¢ bid, 48¢ ask, 5¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 16 inside KXNFLSPREAD-26AUG15CLECHI.
Price history
46¢ current
+8¢Contract brief
If Chicago wins by more than 2.5 points in the Cleveland vs Chicago Pro Football game originally scheduled for Aug 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Chicago wins by over 2.5 points
Rank
#2 of 16
Leader
Chicago wins by over 1.5 points 46¢
Range
10¢-46¢
Family volume
$2K
Identifier
KXNFLSPREAD-26AUG15CLECHI-CHI3
Aug 9, 2026, 1:38 AM UTC · 6m ago
Implied probability
Bid
43¢
Ask
48¢
Spread
5¢
Reported volume
$0
Family rank
#2 of 16
16 outcomes · KXNFLSPREAD-26AUG15CLECHI
Closes
Aug 17, 2026
Family volume
$2K
Orderbook snapshot
43 / 48¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Chicago wins by more than 2.5 points in the Cleveland vs Chicago Pro Football game originally scheduled for Aug 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Aug 17, 2026
Identifier
KXNFLSPREAD-26AUG15CLECHI-CHI3
Event family
KXNFLSPREAD-26AUG15CLECHI.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$2K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Chicago wins by over 1.5 points 46¢
Current share
0%
Chicago wins by over 1.5 points
kalshi · KXNFLSPREAD-26AUG15CLECHI-CHI2
Chicago wins by over 2.5 points
kalshi · KXNFLSPREAD-26AUG15CLECHI-CHI3
Chicago wins by over 3.5 points
kalshi · KXNFLSPREAD-26AUG15CLECHI-CHI4
Chicago wins by over 5.5 points
kalshi · KXNFLSPREAD-26AUG15CLECHI-CHI6
Chicago wins by over 4.5 points
kalshi · KXNFLSPREAD-26AUG15CLECHI-CHI5
Chicago wins by over 6.5 points
kalshi · KXNFLSPREAD-26AUG15CLECHI-CHI7
Chicago wins by over 7.5 points
kalshi · KXNFLSPREAD-26AUG15CLECHI-CHI8
Chicago wins by over 9.5 points
kalshi · KXNFLSPREAD-26AUG15CLECHI-CHI10
Cleveland wins by over 9.5 points
kalshi · KXNFLSPREAD-26AUG15CLECHI-CLE10
Cleveland wins by over 16.5 points
kalshi · KXNFLSPREAD-26AUG15CLECHI-CLE17
Chicago wins by over 10.5 points
kalshi · KXNFLSPREAD-26AUG15CLECHI-CHI11
Cleveland wins by over 13.5 points
kalshi · KXNFLSPREAD-26AUG15CLECHI-CLE14
Chicago wins by over 14.5 points
kalshi · KXNFLSPREAD-26AUG15CLECHI-CHI15
Chicago wins by over 13.5 points
kalshi · KXNFLSPREAD-26AUG15CLECHI-CHI14
Cleveland wins by over 14.5 points
kalshi · KXNFLSPREAD-26AUG15CLECHI-CLE15
Chicago wins by over 16.5 points
kalshi · KXNFLSPREAD-26AUG15CLECHI-CHI17
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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Event Probability API
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.