Chicago wins by over 6.5 points
Chicago wins by over 6.5 points is priced at 32¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 27¢ bid, 34¢ ask, 7¢ spread. This outcome ranks #9 of 16 inside KXNFLSPREAD-26AUG15CLECHI.
Price history
32¢ current
+6¢Contract brief
If Chicago wins by more than 6.5 points in the Cleveland vs Chicago Pro Football game originally scheduled for Aug 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Chicago wins by over 6.5 points
Rank
#9 of 16
Leader
Chicago wins by over 1.5 points 46¢
Range
16¢-46¢
Family volume
$2K
Identifier
KXNFLSPREAD-26AUG15CLECHI-CHI7
Aug 8, 2026, 9:08 PM UTC · 13m ago
Implied probability
Bid
27¢
Ask
34¢
Spread
7¢
24h volume
$1K
Family rank
#9 of 16
16 outcomes · KXNFLSPREAD-26AUG15CLECHI
Closes
Aug 17, 2026
Family volume
$2K
Orderbook snapshot
27 / 34¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Chicago wins by more than 6.5 points in the Cleveland vs Chicago Pro Football game originally scheduled for Aug 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Aug 17, 2026
Identifier
KXNFLSPREAD-26AUG15CLECHI-CHI7
Event family
KXNFLSPREAD-26AUG15CLECHI.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$2K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Chicago wins by over 1.5 points 46¢
Current share
50%
Chicago wins by over 1.5 points
kalshi · KXNFLSPREAD-26AUG15CLECHI-CHI2
Chicago wins by over 2.5 points
kalshi · KXNFLSPREAD-26AUG15CLECHI-CHI3
Cleveland wins by over 1.5 points
kalshi · KXNFLSPREAD-26AUG15CLECHI-CLE2
Cleveland wins by over 2.5 points
kalshi · KXNFLSPREAD-26AUG15CLECHI-CLE3
Cleveland wins by over 3.5 points
kalshi · KXNFLSPREAD-26AUG15CLECHI-CLE4
Chicago wins by over 4.5 points
kalshi · KXNFLSPREAD-26AUG15CLECHI-CHI5
Chicago wins by over 3.5 points
kalshi · KXNFLSPREAD-26AUG15CLECHI-CHI4
Cleveland wins by over 4.5 points
kalshi · KXNFLSPREAD-26AUG15CLECHI-CLE5
Chicago wins by over 6.5 points
kalshi · KXNFLSPREAD-26AUG15CLECHI-CHI7
Chicago wins by over 5.5 points
kalshi · KXNFLSPREAD-26AUG15CLECHI-CHI6
Chicago wins by over 7.5 points
kalshi · KXNFLSPREAD-26AUG15CLECHI-CHI8
Chicago wins by over 9.5 points
kalshi · KXNFLSPREAD-26AUG15CLECHI-CHI10
Chicago wins by over 16.5 points
kalshi · KXNFLSPREAD-26AUG15CLECHI-CHI17
Chicago wins by over 14.5 points
kalshi · KXNFLSPREAD-26AUG15CLECHI-CHI15
Chicago wins by over 13.5 points
kalshi · KXNFLSPREAD-26AUG15CLECHI-CHI14
Chicago wins by over 10.5 points
kalshi · KXNFLSPREAD-26AUG15CLECHI-CHI11
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.