Chicago wins by over 9.5 points
Chicago wins by over 9.5 points is priced at 25¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 22¢ bid, 27¢ ask, 5¢ spread. This outcome ranks #6 of 16 inside KXNFLSPREAD-26SEP13CHICAR.
Price history
25¢ current
+22¢Contract brief
If Chicago wins by more than 9.5 points in the Chicago vs Carolina Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Chicago wins by over 9.5 points
Rank
#6 of 16
Leader
Chicago wins by over 2.5 points 50¢
Range
15¢-50¢
Family volume
$132
Identifier
KXNFLSPREAD-26SEP13CHICAR-CHI10
Aug 7, 2026, 6:38 PM UTC · 7m ago
Implied probability
Bid
22¢
Ask
27¢
Spread
5¢
Reported volume
$0
Family rank
#6 of 16
16 outcomes · KXNFLSPREAD-26SEP13CHICAR
Closes
Sep 15, 2026
Family volume
$132
Orderbook snapshot
22 / 27¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Chicago wins by more than 9.5 points in the Chicago vs Carolina Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Sep 15, 2026
Identifier
KXNFLSPREAD-26SEP13CHICAR-CHI10
Event family
KXNFLSPREAD-26SEP13CHICAR.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$132
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Chicago wins by over 2.5 points 50¢
Current share
0%
Chicago wins by over 2.5 points
kalshi · KXNFLSPREAD-26SEP13CHICAR-CHI3
Carolina wins by over 1.5 points
kalshi · KXNFLSPREAD-26SEP13CHICAR-CAR2
Carolina wins by over 2.5 points
kalshi · KXNFLSPREAD-26SEP13CHICAR-CAR3
Carolina wins by over 3.5 points
kalshi · KXNFLSPREAD-26SEP13CHICAR-CAR4
Carolina wins by over 4.5 points
kalshi · KXNFLSPREAD-26SEP13CHICAR-CAR5
Chicago wins by over 9.5 points
kalshi · KXNFLSPREAD-26SEP13CHICAR-CHI10
Carolina wins by over 5.5 points
kalshi · KXNFLSPREAD-26SEP13CHICAR-CAR6
Carolina wins by over 6.5 points
kalshi · KXNFLSPREAD-26SEP13CHICAR-CAR7
Chicago wins by over 10.5 points
kalshi · KXNFLSPREAD-26SEP13CHICAR-CHI11
Carolina wins by over 9.5 points
kalshi · KXNFLSPREAD-26SEP13CHICAR-CAR10
Carolina wins by over 10.5 points
kalshi · KXNFLSPREAD-26SEP13CHICAR-CAR11
Carolina wins by over 13.5 points
kalshi · KXNFLSPREAD-26SEP13CHICAR-CAR14
Carolina wins by over 14.5 points
kalshi · KXNFLSPREAD-26SEP13CHICAR-CAR15
Carolina wins by over 7.5 points
kalshi · KXNFLSPREAD-26SEP13CHICAR-CAR8
Chicago wins by over 13.5 points
kalshi · KXNFLSPREAD-26SEP13CHICAR-CHI14
Chicago wins by over 14.5 points
kalshi · KXNFLSPREAD-26SEP13CHICAR-CHI15
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
taker
Score
0.636
Observability
direct
Event type
sports
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.