Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by June 30?
This contract is priced at 5¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 4¢ bid, 5¢ ask, 1¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
2
Family volume
$143K
Best sibling
December 31, 2026 9¢
Ticker
0x5649a937…640d
Price history
5¢ current
+2¢Orderbook snapshot
4 / 5¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Claudia Sheinbaum ceases to be President of Mexico for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Claudia Sheinbaum's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Claudia Sheinbaum and the government of Mexico; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Jun 30, 2026
Identifier
0x5649a937…640d
Event family
Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$143K
Outcomes
2
Highest price
December 31, 2026 9¢
Current share
97%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.341
Observability
low
Event type
political
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