SimpleFunctions

Dallas wins by over 1.5 points

Dallas wins by over 1.5 points is priced at 54¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 51¢ bid, 57¢ ask, 6¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 16 inside KXNFLSPREAD-26SEP13DALNYG.

Price history

54¢ current

+51¢
0¢25¢50¢
Aug 4, 2026Aug 25, 2026

Contract brief

If Dallas wins by more than 1.5 points in the Dallas vs New York G Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Dallas wins by over 1.5 points

Rank

#1 of 16

Leader

Dallas wins by over 1.5 points 51¢

Range

3¢-51¢

Family volume

$9K

Identifier

KXNFLSPREAD-26SEP13DALNYG-DAL2

Aug 25, 2026, 6:38 PM UTC · 51m ago

Implied probability

54¢
Latest venue quote
Aug 25, 2026, 6:38 PM UTC · 51m ago

Bid

51¢

Ask

57¢

Spread

Reported volume

$6K

Family rank

#1 of 16

16 outcomes · KXNFLSPREAD-26SEP13DALNYG

Closes

Sep 16, 2026

Family volume

$9K

Orderbook snapshot

51 / 57¢

Kalshi
6¢ spread
BidSize
51¢578
50¢2.4K
49¢1.0K
48¢1.0K
41¢946
AskSize
57¢243
60¢575
62¢575
63¢2.0K
67¢879

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Dallas wins by more than 1.5 points in the Dallas vs New York G Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Sep 16, 2026

Identifier

KXNFLSPREAD-26SEP13DALNYG-DAL2

SF Signal
SF Index
1788.85
Regime
taker

Event family

KXNFLSPREAD-26SEP13DALNYG.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$9K

Outcomes

16

Highest price

Dallas wins by over 1.5 points 51¢

Current share

0%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

1651.3%

IY (No)

1788.8%

Adj IY

1789%

CRI

1

RV

142%

VR

0.35

Regime

taker

Score

0.636

Observability

direct

Event type

sports

Full indicator table

1651.3%
1788.8%
Adj IY
1789%
1
RV
142%
VR
0.35
IAR
0.3/h
Overround
3.7%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.