SimpleFunctions

Dallas wins by over 17.5 points

Dallas wins by over 17.5 points is priced at 19¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 6¢ bid, 12¢ ask, 6¢ spread. This outcome ranks #15 of 16 inside KXNFLSPREAD-26SEP13DALNYG.

Price history

19¢ current

+15¢
0¢10¢20¢
Aug 4, 2026Aug 24, 2026

Contract brief

If Dallas wins by more than 17.5 points in the Dallas vs New York Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Dallas wins by over 17.5 points

Rank

#15 of 16

Leader

Dallas wins by over 1.5 points 53¢

Range

3¢-53¢

Family volume

$4K

Identifier

KXNFLSPREAD-26SEP13DALNYG-DAL18

Aug 24, 2026, 4:38 PM UTC · 7m ago

Implied probability

19¢
Latest venue quote
Aug 24, 2026, 4:38 PM UTC · 7m ago

Bid

Ask

12¢

Spread

Reported volume

$139

Family rank

#15 of 16

16 outcomes · KXNFLSPREAD-26SEP13DALNYG

Closes

Sep 16, 2026

Family volume

$4K

Orderbook snapshot

6 / 12¢

Kalshi
6¢ spread
BidSize
6¢667
5¢20
4¢95
3¢415
2¢450
AskSize
12¢763
13¢3.9K
16¢2.8K
17¢200
43¢3.0K

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Dallas wins by more than 17.5 points in the Dallas vs New York Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Sep 16, 2026

Identifier

KXNFLSPREAD-26SEP13DALNYG-DAL18

SF Signal
SF Index
12809.89
Regime
taker

Event family

KXNFLSPREAD-26SEP13DALNYG.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$4K

Outcomes

16

Highest price

Dallas wins by over 1.5 points 53¢

Current share

0%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

25619.8%

IY (No)

104.4%

Adj IY

12810%

CRI

16

Overround

4.2%

Regime

taker

Score

0.636

Observability

direct

Event type

sports

Full indicator table

25619.8%
104.4%
Adj IY
12810%
16
Overround
4.2%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.