Sanae Takaichi · Donald Trump and
Sanae Takaichi is priced at 58¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 55¢ bid, 60¢ ask, 5¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 15 inside Donald Trump and.
Price history
58¢ current
−21¢Contract brief
If Donald Trump and Sanae Takaichi meet (including phone calls) before Aug 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Sanae Takaichi
Rank
#3 of 15
Leader
Mohammed bin Salman 97¢
Range
1¢-97¢
Family volume
$897
Identifier
KXTRUMPMEET-26JUL-STAK
Jul 12, 2026, 1:38 PM UTC · 3m ago
Implied probability
Bid
55¢
Ask
60¢
Spread
5¢
24h volume
$36
Family rank
#3 of 15
15 outcomes · Donald Trump and
Closes
Aug 1, 2026
Family volume
$897
Orderbook snapshot
55 / 60¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Donald Trump and Sanae Takaichi meet (including phone calls) before Aug 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Aug 1, 2026
Identifier
KXTRUMPMEET-26JUL-STAK
Event family
Donald Trump and.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$897
Outcomes
15
Highest price
Mohammed bin Salman 97¢
Current share
4%
Mohammed bin Salman
kalshi · KXTRUMPMEET-26JUL-MBS
Ron DeSantis
kalshi · KXTRUMPMEET-26JUL-RDES
Sanae Takaichi
kalshi · KXTRUMPMEET-26JUL-STAK
Narendra Modi
kalshi · KXTRUMPMEET-26JUL-NMOD
Jensen Huang
kalshi · KXTRUMPMEET-26JUL-JHUA
Delcy Rodriguez
kalshi · KXTRUMPMEET-26JUL-DROD
Zohran Mamdani
kalshi · KXTRUMPMEET-26JUL-ZMAM
Xi Jinping
kalshi · KXTRUMPMEET-26JUL-XJIN
Gavin Newsom
kalshi · KXTRUMPMEET-26JUL-GNEW
Chuck Schumer
kalshi · KXTRUMPMEET-26JUL-CSCH
Hakeem Jeffries
kalshi · KXTRUMPMEET-26JUL-HJEF
Reza Pahlavi
kalshi · KXTRUMPMEET-26JUL-RPAH
María Corina Machado
kalshi · KXTRUMPMEET-26JUL-MCM
Jerome Powell
kalshi · KXTRUMPMEET-26JUL-JPOW
Lai Ching-te
kalshi · KXTRUMPMEET-26JUL-LCHI
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.