Reg Time: Tie · England vs Argentina Winner?: Reg Time
Reg Time: Tie is priced at 33¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 32¢ bid, 33¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 3 inside England vs Argentina Winner?: Reg Time.
Price history
33¢ current
Contract brief
If Tie is the result of the England vs Argentina professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 15, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Reg Time: Tie
Rank
#2 of 3
Leader
Reg Time: England 36¢
Range
31¢-36¢
Family volume
$78K
Identifier
KXWCGAME-26JUL15ENGARG-TIE
Jul 13, 2026, 10:08 PM UTC · 16m ago
Implied probability
Bid
32¢
Ask
33¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$20K
Family rank
#2 of 3
3 outcomes · England vs Argentina Winner?: Reg Time
Closes
Jul 29, 2026
Family volume
$78K
Orderbook snapshot
32 / 33¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Tie is the result of the England vs Argentina professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 15, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 29, 2026
Identifier
KXWCGAME-26JUL15ENGARG-TIE
Event family
England vs Argentina Winner?: Reg Time.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$78K
Outcomes
3
Highest price
Reg Time: England 36¢
Current share
26%
Browse this series
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
Odds pages
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.