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Fear & Greed Index on Aug 28, 2026

Greed is priced at 26¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 26¢ bid, 27¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 5 inside Fear & Greed Index on Aug 28, 2026.

Price history

26¢ current

+20¢
10¢20¢30¢
Aug 3, 2026Aug 3, 2026

Contract brief

If the first value update after 4:00 PM ET on Aug 28, 2026 is Greed, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Greed

Rank

#2 of 5

Leader

Fear 36¢

Range

3¢-36¢

Family volume

$3

Identifier

KXFEAR-26AUG28-GREE

Aug 7, 2026, 2:08 AM UTC · 2m ago

Implied probability

26¢
Latest venue quote
Aug 7, 2026, 2:08 AM UTC · 2m ago

Bid

26¢

Ask

27¢

Spread

Reported volume

$691

Family rank

#2 of 5

5 outcomes · Fear & Greed Index on Aug 28, 2026

Closes

Sep 4, 2026

Family volume

$3

Orderbook snapshot

26 / 27¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
26¢7.5K
22¢200
20¢10
14¢200
8¢400
AskSize
27¢2.6K
28¢12
30¢200
36¢200
41¢103

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the first value update after 4:00 PM ET on Aug 28, 2026 is Greed, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Sep 4, 2026

Identifier

KXFEAR-26AUG28-GREE

SF Signal
SF Index
1807.07
Regime
neutral

Event family

Fear & Greed Index on Aug 28, 2026.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$3

Outcomes

5

Highest price

Fear 36¢

Current share

0%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

3614.1%

IY (No)

446.2%

Adj IY

1807%

CRI

3

Overround

-0.0%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

3614.1%
446.2%
Adj IY
1807%
3
Overround
-0.0%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.