Fear & Greed Index on Aug 28, 2026
Neutral is priced at 22¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 22¢ bid, 23¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 5 inside Fear & Greed Index on Aug 28, 2026.
Price history
22¢ current
+18¢Contract brief
If the first value update after 4:00 PM ET on Aug 28, 2026 is Neutral, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Neutral
Rank
#3 of 5
Leader
Fear 36¢
Range
3¢-36¢
Family volume
$3
Identifier
KXFEAR-26AUG28-NEUT
Aug 7, 2026, 2:08 AM UTC · 3m ago
Implied probability
Bid
22¢
Ask
23¢
Spread
1¢
Reported volume
$531
Family rank
#3 of 5
5 outcomes · Fear & Greed Index on Aug 28, 2026
Closes
Sep 4, 2026
Family volume
$3
Orderbook snapshot
22 / 23¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the first value update after 4:00 PM ET on Aug 28, 2026 is Neutral, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Sep 4, 2026
Identifier
KXFEAR-26AUG28-NEUT
Event family
Fear & Greed Index on Aug 28, 2026.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$3
Outcomes
5
Highest price
Fear 36¢
Current share
0%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.