GDP growth in 2027
2.1% to 2.5% is priced at 14¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 13¢ bid, 18¢ ask, 5¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 14 inside GDP growth in 2027.
Price history
14¢ current
+7¢Contract brief
If the United States real GDP growth in 2027 is between 2.1% to 2.5%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
2.1% to 2.5%
Rank
#2 of 14
Leader
2.6% to 3.0% 15¢
Range
1¢-15¢
Family volume
$0
Identifier
KXGDPYEAR-27-B2.3
Jun 24, 2026, 6:08 AM UTC · 27m ago
Implied probability
Bid
13¢
Ask
18¢
Spread
5¢
Reported volume
$1K
Family rank
#2 of 14
14 outcomes · GDP growth in 2027
Closes
Feb 28, 2028
Family volume
$0
Orderbook snapshot
13 / 18¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the United States real GDP growth in 2027 is between 2.1% to 2.5%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Feb 28, 2028
Identifier
KXGDPYEAR-27-B2.3
Event family
GDP growth in 2027.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$0
Outcomes
14
Highest price
2.6% to 3.0% 15¢
Current share
—
2.6% to 3.0%
kalshi · KXGDPYEAR-27-B2.8
2.1% to 2.5%
kalshi · KXGDPYEAR-27-B2.3
0.0% or Below
kalshi · KXGDPYEAR-27-T0.1
1.1% to 1.5%
kalshi · KXGDPYEAR-27-B1.3
1.6% to 2.0%
kalshi · KXGDPYEAR-27-B1.8
3.1% to 3.5%
kalshi · KXGDPYEAR-27-B3.3
0.1% to 0.5%
kalshi · KXGDPYEAR-27-B0.3
0.6% to 1.0%
kalshi · KXGDPYEAR-27-B0.8
6.1% or Above
kalshi · KXGDPYEAR-27-T6.0
3.6% to 4.0%
kalshi · KXGDPYEAR-27-B3.8
4.6% to 5.0%
kalshi · KXGDPYEAR-27-B4.8
5.6% to 6.0%
kalshi · KXGDPYEAR-27-B5.8
5.1% to 5.5%
kalshi · KXGDPYEAR-27-B5.3
4.1% to 4.5%
kalshi · KXGDPYEAR-27-B4.3
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.