Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by June 30, 2026?
This contract is priced at 5¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 4¢ bid, 5¢ ask, 1¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
2
Family volume
$159K
Best sibling
December 31 11¢
Ticker
0x08b346f4…ee0a
Price history
5¢ current
−2¢Orderbook snapshot
4 / 5¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the King of Bahrain, Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa, ceases to be the de facto leader of Bahrain at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Bahrain if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Bahrain within this market's timeframe. An announcement of Khalifa's resignation or abdication will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Jun 30, 2026
Identifier
0x08b346f4…ee0a
Event family
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$159K
Outcomes
2
Highest price
December 31 11¢
Current share
99%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.341
Observability
low
Event type
political
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