SimpleFunctions

David Papot to win Harlem Eubank vs David Papot

David Papot is priced at 58¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 56¢ bid, 58¢ ask, 2¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 2 inside Harlem Eubank vs David Papot Winner.

Price history

58¢ current

+56¢
0¢25¢50¢
Jul 11, 2026Jul 13, 2026

Contract brief

If David Papot wins the Harlem Eubank vs David Papot boxing match originally scheduled for Jul 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

David Papot

Rank

#1 of 2

Leader

David Papot 56¢

Range

41¢-56¢

Family volume

$1K

Identifier

KXBOXING-26JUL18EUBANKPAPOT-PAPOT

Jul 13, 2026, 7:08 PM UTC · 18m ago

Implied probability

58¢
Latest venue quote
Jul 13, 2026, 7:08 PM UTC · 18m ago

Bid

56¢

Ask

58¢

Spread

24h volume

$594

Family rank

#1 of 2

2 outcomes · Harlem Eubank vs David Papot Winner

Closes

Aug 1, 2026

Family volume

$1K

Orderbook snapshot

56 / 58¢

Kalshi
2¢ spread
BidSize
56¢1
55¢1.0K
54¢600
53¢1.3K
52¢1.0K
AskSize
58¢1.2K
60¢2.0K
61¢1.0K
63¢950
64¢975

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If David Papot wins the Harlem Eubank vs David Papot boxing match originally scheduled for Jul 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Aug 1, 2026

Identifier

KXBOXING-26JUL18EUBANKPAPOT-PAPOT

SF Signal
SF Index
2451.17
Regime
neutral

Event family

Harlem Eubank vs David Papot Winner.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$1K

Outcomes

2

Highest price

David Papot 56¢

Current share

57%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

1513.2%

IY (No)

2451.2%

Adj IY

2451%

CRI

1

RV

267%

VR

0.64

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

1513.2%
2451.2%
Adj IY
2451%
1
RV
267%
VR
0.64
IAR
0.4/h

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.