Above 4.3% · How high will CPI get this year?: Above
Above 4.3% is priced at 25¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 15¢ bid, 24¢ ask, 9¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 9 inside How high will CPI get this year?: Above.
Price history
25¢ current
−49¢Contract brief
If any Consumer Price Index (CPI YoY) report is above 4.3% for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Above 4.3%
Rank
#3 of 9
Leader
Above 4.2% 20¢
Range
7¢-20¢
Family volume
$800
Identifier
KXHIGHINFLATION-26DEC-T4.3
Jun 25, 2026, 12:08 PM UTC · 16m ago
Implied probability
Bid
15¢
Ask
24¢
Spread
9¢
24h volume
$0
Family rank
#3 of 9
9 outcomes · How high will CPI get this year?: Above
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Family volume
$800
Orderbook snapshot
15 / 24¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If any Consumer Price Index (CPI YoY) report is above 4.3% for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Identifier
KXHIGHINFLATION-26DEC-T4.3
Event family
How high will CPI get this year?: Above.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$800
Outcomes
9
Highest price
Above 4.2% 20¢
Current share
0%
Above 4.2%
kalshi · KXHIGHINFLATION-26DEC-T4.2
Above 4.4%
kalshi · KXHIGHINFLATION-26DEC-T4.4
Above 4.3%
kalshi · KXHIGHINFLATION-26DEC-T4.3
Above 4.5%
kalshi · KXHIGHINFLATION-26DEC-T4.5
Above 4.6%
kalshi · KXHIGHINFLATION-26DEC-T4.6
Above 4.7%
kalshi · KXHIGHINFLATION-26DEC-T4.7
Above 4.8%
kalshi · KXHIGHINFLATION-26DEC-T4.8
Above 4.9%
kalshi · KXHIGHINFLATION-26DEC-T4.9
Above 5.0%
kalshi · KXHIGHINFLATION-26DEC-T5.0
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.568
Observability
high
Event type
data_release
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.