Above 12% · How high will unemployment get before 2027?: Above
Above 12% is priced at 5¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 1¢ bid, 5¢ ask, 4¢ spread. This outcome ranks #4 of 10 inside How high will unemployment get before 2027?: Above.
Price history
5¢ current
+3¢Contract brief
If any U.S. seasonally adjusted U-3 unemployment rate for a month in 2026 is above 12%, the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Above 12%
Rank
#4 of 10
Leader
Above 5% 17¢
Range
1¢-17¢
Family volume
$5K
Identifier
KXU3MAX-27-12
Jun 25, 2026, 5:15 PM UTC · 0m ago
Implied probability
Bid
1¢
Ask
5¢
Spread
4¢
Reported volume
$3K
Family rank
#4 of 10
10 outcomes · How high will unemployment get before 2027?: Above
Closes
Jan 8, 2027
Family volume
$5K
Orderbook snapshot
1 / 5¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If any U.S. seasonally adjusted U-3 unemployment rate for a month in 2026 is above 12%, the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 8, 2027
Identifier
KXU3MAX-27-12
Event family
How high will unemployment get before 2027?: Above.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$5K
Outcomes
10
Highest price
Above 5% 17¢
Current share
0%
Above 5%
kalshi · KXU3MAX-27-5
Above 6%
kalshi · KXU3MAX-27-6
Above 7%
kalshi · KXU3MAX-27-7
Above 12%
kalshi · KXU3MAX-27-12
Above 10%
kalshi · KXU3MAX-27-10
Above 4.5%
kalshi · KXU3MAX-27-4.5
Above 4.8%
kalshi · KXU3MAX-27-4.8
Above 5.5%
kalshi · KXU3MAX-27-5.5
Above 6.5%
kalshi · KXU3MAX-27-6.5
Above 8%
kalshi · KXU3MAX-27-8
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.341
Observability
low
Event type
financial
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.