At least 2h 30m · How long will The Odyssey directed by Christopher Nolan be?: At least
At least 2h 30m is priced at 98¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 98¢ bid, 99¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 9 inside How long will The Odyssey directed by Christopher Nolan be?: At least.
Price history
98¢ current
+34¢Contract brief
If The Odyssey directed by Christopher Nolan is at least 150 minutes, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
At least 2h 30m
Rank
#1 of 9
Leader
At least 2h 30m 98¢
Range
2¢-98¢
Family volume
$18K
Identifier
KXMOVIELENGTH-26JUL30-ODY-150
Jun 26, 2026, 12:38 AM UTC · 17m ago
Implied probability
Bid
98¢
Ask
99¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$2K
Family rank
#1 of 9
9 outcomes · How long will The Odyssey directed by Christopher Nolan be?: At least
Closes
Jul 31, 2026
Family volume
$18K
Orderbook snapshot
98 / 99¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If The Odyssey directed by Christopher Nolan is at least 150 minutes, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 31, 2026
Identifier
KXMOVIELENGTH-26JUL30-ODY-150
Event family
How long will The Odyssey directed by Christopher Nolan be?: At least.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$18K
Outcomes
9
Highest price
At least 2h 30m 98¢
Current share
11%
At least 2h 40m
kalshi · KXMOVIELENGTH-26JUL30-ODY-160
At least 2h 30m
kalshi · KXMOVIELENGTH-26JUL30-ODY-150
At least 2h 20m
kalshi · KXMOVIELENGTH-26JUL30-ODY-140
At least 2h 25m
kalshi · KXMOVIELENGTH-26JUL30-ODY-145
At least 2h 45m
kalshi · KXMOVIELENGTH-26JUL30-ODY-165
At least 2h 35m
kalshi · KXMOVIELENGTH-26JUL30-ODY-155
At least 2h 50m
kalshi · KXMOVIELENGTH-26JUL30-ODY-170
At least 2h 55m
kalshi · KXMOVIELENGTH-26JUL30-ODY-175
At least 3h 00m
kalshi · KXMOVIELENGTH-26JUL30-ODY-180
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
Filter adjacent contracts by volume, expiry, IY, CRI, venue, and theme.
Event Probability API
Read 98% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.