SimpleFunctions

At least 2h 55m · How long will The Odyssey directed by Christopher Nolan be?: At least

At least 2h 55m is priced at 4¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 3¢ bid, 4¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #8 of 9 inside How long will The Odyssey directed by Christopher Nolan be?: At least.

Price history

4¢ current

0¢10¢20¢
May 26, 2026Jun 24, 2026

Contract brief

If The Odyssey directed by Christopher Nolan is at least 175 minutes, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

At least 2h 55m

Rank

#8 of 9

Leader

At least 2h 40m 98¢

Range

2¢-98¢

Family volume

$19K

Identifier

KXMOVIELENGTH-26JUL30-ODY-175

Jun 25, 2026, 4:38 PM UTC · 1m ago

Implied probability

4¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 25, 2026, 4:38 PM UTC · 1m ago

Bid

Ask

Spread

24h volume

$2K

Family rank

#8 of 9

9 outcomes · How long will The Odyssey directed by Christopher Nolan be?: At least

Closes

Jul 31, 2026

Family volume

$19K

Orderbook snapshot

3 / 4¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
100¢16K
3¢4.6K
2¢559
AskSize
4¢2.0K
5¢1.4K
6¢101
7¢499
9¢12

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If The Odyssey directed by Christopher Nolan is at least 175 minutes, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jul 31, 2026

Identifier

KXMOVIELENGTH-26JUL30-ODY-175

SF Signal
SF Index
16635.19
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

33270.4%
31.8%
Adj IY
16635%
32

Odds pages

Related prediction questions

Browse odds

Related readings

Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.

Browse library
Blogmarkets

Prediction Market Orderbook Analysis: Reading Depth, Spread, and Liquidity

How to read prediction market orderbooks. Binary settlement, spread-as-percentage, depth asymmetry, executable edge calculation, and cross-venue arbitrage analysis.

Technicalguide

How to Scan Prediction Market Orderbooks: Spread, Depth, and Liquidity Analysis

Practical guide to analyzing orderbook data from Kalshi and Polymarket. Learn spread, depth, liquidity scoring, and executable edge calculation.

Conceptmethodology

Maker / Taker Regime in Prediction Markets: How to Read the Orderbook State

Three regime states (maker-dominated, taker-dominated, neutral) and how to read which one a Kalshi or Polymarket contract is in. Strategy follows regime, not thesis.

Blogmarkets

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?

In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.

Technicalguide

Kalshi vs Polymarket: A Developer's Comparison of APIs, Orderbooks, and Liquidity

Data-driven comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket APIs, orderbooks, rate limits, and liquidity. Code examples for building on both prediction markets.

Technicalrisk

Reading Prediction Market Orderbooks: Liquidity, Spread, and When to Enter

How to read prediction market orderbooks on Kalshi. Covers bid-ask spread analysis, liquidity scoring, executable edge calculation, and when thin markets are opportunities vs traps.

SimpleFunctions context

Index, screen, query, and monitor.

Open index

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.