At least 1 · How many 2026 FIFA World Cup matches will Donald Trump attend this season?: At least
At least 1 is priced at 93¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 93¢ bid, 94¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 3 inside How many 2026 FIFA World Cup matches will Donald Trump attend this season?: At least.
Price history
93¢ current
+17¢Contract brief
If Donald Trump attends at least 1 2026 FIFA World Cup matches, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
At least 1
Rank
#1 of 3
Leader
At least 1 93¢
Range
14¢-93¢
Family volume
$7K
Identifier
KXTRUMPWORLDCUP-26-DJT-1
Jun 17, 2026, 11:38 AM UTC · 22m ago
Implied probability
Bid
93¢
Ask
94¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$4K
Family rank
#1 of 3
3 outcomes · How many 2026 FIFA World Cup matches will Donald Trump attend this season?: At least
Closes
Jul 21, 2026
Family volume
$7K
Orderbook snapshot
93 / 94¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Donald Trump attends at least 1 2026 FIFA World Cup matches, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 21, 2026
Identifier
KXTRUMPWORLDCUP-26-DJT-1
Event family
How many 2026 FIFA World Cup matches will Donald Trump attend this season?: At least.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$7K
Outcomes
3
Highest price
At least 1 93¢
Current share
60%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 93% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.