At least 3 · How many 2026 FIFA World Cup matches will Donald Trump attend this season?: At least
At least 3 is priced at 17¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 15¢ bid, 18¢ ask, 3¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 3 inside How many 2026 FIFA World Cup matches will Donald Trump attend this season?: At least.
Price history
17¢ current
+14¢Contract brief
If Donald Trump attends at least 3 2026 FIFA World Cup matches, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
At least 3
Rank
#3 of 3
Leader
At least 1 92¢
Range
15¢-92¢
Family volume
$6K
Identifier
KXTRUMPWORLDCUP-26-DJT-3
Jun 17, 2026, 4:38 AM UTC · 18m ago
Implied probability
Bid
15¢
Ask
18¢
Spread
3¢
24h volume
$1K
Family rank
#3 of 3
3 outcomes · How many 2026 FIFA World Cup matches will Donald Trump attend this season?: At least
Closes
Jul 21, 2026
Family volume
$6K
Orderbook snapshot
15 / 18¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Donald Trump attends at least 3 2026 FIFA World Cup matches, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 21, 2026
Identifier
KXTRUMPWORLDCUP-26-DJT-3
Event family
How many 2026 FIFA World Cup matches will Donald Trump attend this season?: At least.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$6K
Outcomes
3
Highest price
At least 1 92¢
Current share
20%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.