Exactly 8 · How many awards will Pluribus win at the 78th Emmy Awards?: Exactly
Exactly 8 is priced at 7¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 6¢ bid, 7¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #6 of 16 inside How many awards will Pluribus win at the 78th Emmy Awards?: Exactly.
Price history
7¢ current
+5¢Contract brief
If Pluribus has won exactly 8 awards at the 78th Emmy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Exactly 8
Rank
#6 of 16
Leader
Exactly 4 14¢
Range
1¢-14¢
Family volume
$29K
Identifier
KXEMMYCOUNT-26PLU-8
Jul 11, 2026, 3:08 AM UTC · 3m ago
Implied probability
Bid
6¢
Ask
7¢
Spread
1¢
Reported volume
$33
Family rank
#6 of 16
16 outcomes · How many awards will Pluribus win at the 78th Emmy Awards?: Exactly
Closes
Dec 31, 2026
Family volume
$29K
Orderbook snapshot
6 / 7¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Pluribus has won exactly 8 awards at the 78th Emmy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Dec 31, 2026
Identifier
KXEMMYCOUNT-26PLU-8
Event family
How many awards will Pluribus win at the 78th Emmy Awards?: Exactly.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$29K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Exactly 4 14¢
Current share
0%
Exactly 4
kalshi · KXEMMYCOUNT-26PLU-4
Exactly 3
kalshi · KXEMMYCOUNT-26PLU-3
Exactly 5
kalshi · KXEMMYCOUNT-26PLU-5
Exactly 7
kalshi · KXEMMYCOUNT-26PLU-7
Exactly 6
kalshi · KXEMMYCOUNT-26PLU-6
Exactly 8
kalshi · KXEMMYCOUNT-26PLU-8
Exactly 9
kalshi · KXEMMYCOUNT-26PLU-9
Exactly 2
kalshi · KXEMMYCOUNT-26PLU-2
Exactly 1
kalshi · KXEMMYCOUNT-26PLU-1
Exactly 10
kalshi · KXEMMYCOUNT-26PLU-10
Exactly 17
kalshi · KXEMMYCOUNT-26PLU-17
Exactly 18
kalshi · KXEMMYCOUNT-26PLU-18
Exactly 15
kalshi · KXEMMYCOUNT-26PLU-15
Exactly 14
kalshi · KXEMMYCOUNT-26PLU-14
Exactly 13
kalshi · KXEMMYCOUNT-26PLU-13
Exactly 16
kalshi · KXEMMYCOUNT-26PLU-16
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
Filter adjacent contracts by volume, expiry, IY, CRI, venue, and theme.
Event Probability API
Read 7% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.