SimpleFunctions

How many golf major championships will Jackson Koivun win before 2036

2+ golf major championship wins is priced at 99¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 51¢ bid, 90¢ ask, 39¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 4 inside How many golf major championships will Jackson Koivun win before 2036.

Price history

99¢ current

+97¢
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢
Jun 16, 2026Jul 13, 2026

Contract brief

If Jackson Koivun wins 2+ golf major championships before 2036, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

2+ golf major championship wins

Rank

#1 of 4

Leader

2+ golf major championship wins 51¢

Range

2¢-51¢

Family volume

$0

Identifier

KXPGAFUTURE-36JKOI-2

Jul 13, 2026, 9:38 PM UTC · 4m ago

Implied probability

99¢
Latest venue quote
Jul 13, 2026, 9:38 PM UTC · 4m ago

Bid

51¢

Ask

90¢

Spread

39¢

Reported volume

$14

Family rank

#1 of 4

4 outcomes · How many golf major championships will Jackson Koivun win before 2036

Closes

Jan 1, 2036

Family volume

$0

Orderbook snapshot

51 / 90¢

Kalshi
39¢ spread
BidSize
100¢100K
51¢5
50¢10
4¢121
3¢1.0K
AskSize
90¢2
91¢1.0K
98¢1.1K
99¢72

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Jackson Koivun wins 2+ golf major championships before 2036, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jan 1, 2036

Identifier

KXPGAFUTURE-36JKOI-2

SF Signal
SF Index
5.49
Regime
neutral

Event family

How many golf major championships will Jackson Koivun win before 2036.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$0

Outcomes

4

Highest price

2+ golf major championship wins 51¢

Current share

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

10.1%

IY (No)

11.0%

Adj IY

5%

CRI

1

Overround

0.1%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

10.1%
11.0%
Adj IY
5%
1
Overround
0.1%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.