2+ golf major championship wins · KXGOLFMAJOR-26RMCI
2+ golf major championship wins is priced at 10¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 9¢ bid, 10¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This page tracks a standalone prediction-market contract.
Price history
10¢ current
−7¢Contract brief
If Rory McIlroy wins at least 2 golf major championships in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
2+ golf major championship wins
Rank
Standalone
Leader
—
Range
—
Family volume
$690
Identifier
KXGOLFMAJOR-26RMCI-2
Jul 12, 2026, 3:38 AM UTC · 16m ago
Implied probability
Bid
9¢
Ask
10¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$690
Family rank
Standalone
Standalone contract
Closes
Aug 4, 2026
Family volume
$690
Orderbook snapshot
9 / 10¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Rory McIlroy wins at least 2 golf major championships in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Aug 4, 2026
Identifier
KXGOLFMAJOR-26RMCI-2
Event family
KXGOLFMAJOR-26RMCI.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$690
Outcomes
1
Highest price
2+ golf major championship wins 9¢
Current share
100%
2+ golf major championship wins
kalshi · KXGOLFMAJOR-26RMCI-2
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Odds pages
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Prediction Market Index
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Event Probability API
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World State API
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.