At least 100 · How many people will Neuralink have implanted in 2026?: At least
At least 100 is priced at 10¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 10¢ bid, 15¢ ask, 5¢ spread. This outcome ranks #6 of 6 inside How many people will Neuralink have implanted in 2026?: At least.
Price history
10¢ current
+6¢Contract brief
If at least 100 persons have received Neuralink brain-computer interface implants before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
At least 100
Rank
#6 of 6
Leader
At least 25 89¢
Range
10¢-89¢
Family volume
$68
Identifier
KXNEURALINKCOUNT-26-100
Jun 25, 2026, 4:38 PM UTC · 23m ago
Implied probability
Bid
10¢
Ask
15¢
Spread
5¢
Reported volume
$894
Family rank
#6 of 6
6 outcomes · How many people will Neuralink have implanted in 2026?: At least
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Family volume
$68
Orderbook snapshot
10 / 15¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If at least 100 persons have received Neuralink brain-computer interface implants before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Identifier
KXNEURALINKCOUNT-26-100
Event family
How many people will Neuralink have implanted in 2026?: At least.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$68
Outcomes
6
Highest price
At least 25 89¢
Current share
0%
At least 25
kalshi · KXNEURALINKCOUNT-26-25
At least 30
kalshi · KXNEURALINKCOUNT-26-30
At least 40
kalshi · KXNEURALINKCOUNT-26-40
At least 50
kalshi · KXNEURALINKCOUNT-26-50
At least 75
kalshi · KXNEURALINKCOUNT-26-75
At least 100
kalshi · KXNEURALINKCOUNT-26-100
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Observability
high
Event type
scientific
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.