At least 25 · How many people will Neuralink have implanted in 2026?: At least
At least 25 is priced at 88¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 88¢ bid, 92¢ ask, 4¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 6 inside How many people will Neuralink have implanted in 2026?: At least.
Price history
88¢ current
+3¢Contract brief
If at least 25 persons have received Neuralink brain-computer interface implants before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
At least 25
Rank
#1 of 6
Leader
At least 25 88¢
Range
10¢-88¢
Family volume
$125
Identifier
KXNEURALINKCOUNT-26-25
Jun 21, 2026, 4:08 AM UTC · 25m ago
Implied probability
Bid
88¢
Ask
92¢
Spread
4¢
24h volume
$78
Family rank
#1 of 6
6 outcomes · How many people will Neuralink have implanted in 2026?: At least
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Family volume
$125
Orderbook snapshot
88 / 92¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If at least 25 persons have received Neuralink brain-computer interface implants before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Identifier
KXNEURALINKCOUNT-26-25
Event family
How many people will Neuralink have implanted in 2026?: At least.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$125
Outcomes
6
Highest price
At least 25 88¢
Current share
63%
At least 25
kalshi · KXNEURALINKCOUNT-26-25
At least 30
kalshi · KXNEURALINKCOUNT-26-30
At least 40
kalshi · KXNEURALINKCOUNT-26-40
At least 50
kalshi · KXNEURALINKCOUNT-26-50
At least 75
kalshi · KXNEURALINKCOUNT-26-75
At least 100
kalshi · KXNEURALINKCOUNT-26-100
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Observability
high
Event type
scientific
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.