Above 58 · How many Senate members will vote Yea on a crypto market structure bill (as defined in KXCRYPTOSTRUCTURE)?: Above
Above 58 is priced at 27¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 28¢ bid, 34¢ ask, 6¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 8 inside How many Senate members will vote Yea on a crypto market structure bill (as defined in KXCRYPTOSTRUCTURE)?: Above.
Price history
27¢ current
−30¢Contract brief
If the number of Senate voting Yea on a crypto market structure bill (as defined in KXCRYPTOSTRUCTURE) before Jan 1, 2027 is above 58, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Above 58
Rank
#3 of 8
Leader
Above 50 36¢
Range
2¢-36¢
Family volume
$835
Identifier
KXVOTECLARITY-26MAY16-T58
Aug 5, 2026, 10:38 AM UTC · 9m ago
Implied probability
Bid
28¢
Ask
34¢
Spread
6¢
24h volume
$210
Family rank
#3 of 8
8 outcomes · How many Senate members will vote Yea on a crypto market structure bill (as defined in KXCRYPTOSTRUCTURE)?: Above
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Family volume
$835
Orderbook snapshot
28 / 34¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the number of Senate voting Yea on a crypto market structure bill (as defined in KXCRYPTOSTRUCTURE) before Jan 1, 2027 is above 58, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Identifier
KXVOTECLARITY-26MAY16-T58
Event family
How many Senate members will vote Yea on a crypto market structure bill (as defined in KXCRYPTOSTRUCTURE)?: Above.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$835
Outcomes
8
Highest price
Above 50 36¢
Current share
25%
Above 50
kalshi · KXVOTECLARITY-26MAY16-T50
Above 55
kalshi · KXVOTECLARITY-26MAY16-T55
Above 58
kalshi · KXVOTECLARITY-26MAY16-T58
Above 60
kalshi · KXVOTECLARITY-26MAY16-T60
Above 62
kalshi · KXVOTECLARITY-26MAY16-T62
Above 64
kalshi · KXVOTECLARITY-26MAY16-T64
Above 66
kalshi · KXVOTECLARITY-26MAY16-T66
Above 68
kalshi · KXVOTECLARITY-26MAY16-T68
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.