More than 3 weeks · How many straight weeks will 'you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love' be #1?: More than
More than 3 weeks is priced at 52¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 51¢ bid, 84¢ ask, 33¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 6 inside How many straight weeks will 'you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love' be #1?: More than.
Price history
52¢ current
+3¢Contract brief
If you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love by Olivia Rodrigo has had the #1 spot on the Billboard 200 for more than 3 consecutive weeks, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
More than 3 weeks
Rank
#3 of 6
Leader
More than 1 week 96¢
Range
1¢-96¢
Family volume
$371
Identifier
KXTOPALBUMRECORD-YOU-OLI-3
Jun 21, 2026, 1:38 PM UTC · 14m ago
Implied probability
Bid
51¢
Ask
84¢
Spread
33¢
Reported volume
$4K
Family rank
#3 of 6
6 outcomes · How many straight weeks will 'you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love' be #1?: More than
Closes
Dec 21, 2026
Family volume
$371
Orderbook snapshot
51 / 84¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love by Olivia Rodrigo has had the #1 spot on the Billboard 200 for more than 3 consecutive weeks, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Dec 21, 2026
Identifier
KXTOPALBUMRECORD-YOU-OLI-3
Event family
How many straight weeks will 'you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love' be #1?: More than.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$371
Outcomes
6
Highest price
More than 1 week 96¢
Current share
0%
More than 1 week
kalshi · KXTOPALBUMRECORD-YOU-OLI-1
More than 2 weeks
kalshi · KXTOPALBUMRECORD-YOU-OLI-2
More than 3 weeks
kalshi · KXTOPALBUMRECORD-YOU-OLI-3
More than 4 weeks
kalshi · KXTOPALBUMRECORD-YOU-OLI-4
More than 5 weeks
kalshi · KXTOPALBUMRECORD-YOU-OLI-5
More than 6 weeks
kalshi · KXTOPALBUMRECORD-YOU-OLI-6
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
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Event Probability API
Read 52% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.