1+ goals for Jude Bellingham
Jude Bellingham: 1+ goals: Jude Bellingham: 1+ is priced at 26¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 25¢ bid, 26¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 16 inside KXWCGOAL-26JUL15ENGARG.
Price history
26¢ current
Contract brief
If Jude Bellingham records at least 1 goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the England vs Argentina professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Jude Bellingham: 1+ goals: Jude Bellingham: 1+
Rank
#3 of 16
Leader
Lionel Messi: 1+ goals: Lionel Messi: 1+ 40¢
Range
1¢-40¢
Family volume
$645K
Identifier
KXWCGOAL-26JUL15ENGARG-ENGJBELLI5-1
Jul 13, 2026, 11:08 PM UTC · 5m ago
Implied probability
Bid
25¢
Ask
26¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$160K
Family rank
#3 of 16
16 outcomes · KXWCGOAL-26JUL15ENGARG
Closes
Jul 29, 2026
Family volume
$645K
Orderbook snapshot
25 / 26¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Jude Bellingham records at least 1 goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the England vs Argentina professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 29, 2026
Identifier
KXWCGOAL-26JUL15ENGARG-ENGJBELLI5-1
Event family
KXWCGOAL-26JUL15ENGARG.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$645K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Lionel Messi: 1+ goals: Lionel Messi: 1+ 40¢
Current share
25%
Lionel Messi: 1+ goals: Lionel Messi: 1+
kalshi · KXWCGOAL-26JUL15ENGARG-ARGLMESSI10-1
Harry Kane: 1+ goals: Harry Kane: 1+
kalshi · KXWCGOAL-26JUL15ENGARG-ENGHKANE9-1
Jude Bellingham: 1+ goals: Jude Bellingham: 1+
kalshi · KXWCGOAL-26JUL15ENGARG-ENGJBELLI5-1
Julian Alvarez: 1+ goals: Julian Alvarez: 1+
kalshi · KXWCGOAL-26JUL15ENGARG-ARGJALVAR19-1
Lautaro Martinez: 1+ goals: Lautaro Martinez: 1+
kalshi · KXWCGOAL-26JUL15ENGARG-ARGLMARTI10-1
Enzo Fernandez: 1+ goals: Enzo Fernandez: 1+
kalshi · KXWCGOAL-26JUL15ENGARG-ARGEFERNA8-1
Lionel Messi: 2+ goals: Lionel Messi: 2+
kalshi · KXWCGOAL-26JUL15ENGARG-ARGLMESSI10-2
Alexis Mac Allister: 1+ goals: Alexis Mac Allister: 1+
kalshi · KXWCGOAL-26JUL15ENGARG-ARGAMACA10-1
Harry Kane: 2+ goals: Harry Kane: 2+
kalshi · KXWCGOAL-26JUL15ENGARG-ENGHKANE9-2
Declan Rice: 1+ goals: Declan Rice: 1+
kalshi · KXWCGOAL-26JUL15ENGARG-ENGDRICE41-1
Elliot Anderson: 1+ goals: Elliot Anderson: 1+
kalshi · KXWCGOAL-26JUL15ENGARG-ENGEANDER8-1
Jude Bellingham: 2+ goals: Jude Bellingham: 2+
kalshi · KXWCGOAL-26JUL15ENGARG-ENGJBELLI5-2
Julian Alvarez: 2+ goals: Julian Alvarez: 2+
kalshi · KXWCGOAL-26JUL15ENGARG-ARGJALVAR19-2
Lionel Messi: 3+ goals: Lionel Messi: 3+
kalshi · KXWCGOAL-26JUL15ENGARG-ARGLMESSI10-3
Jude Bellingham: 3+ goals: Jude Bellingham: 3+
kalshi · KXWCGOAL-26JUL15ENGARG-ENGJBELLI5-3
Harry Kane: 3+ goals: Harry Kane: 3+
kalshi · KXWCGOAL-26JUL15ENGARG-ENGHKANE9-3
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
Odds pages
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.