Yes · KXLAYOFFSYINFO-26
Yes is priced at 92¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 89¢ bid, 92¢ ask, 3¢ spread. This page tracks a standalone prediction-market contract.
Price history
92¢ current
+2¢Contract brief
If there are more than 447,000 layoffs in the information sector in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Yes
Rank
Standalone
Leader
—
Range
—
Family volume
$557
Identifier
KXLAYOFFSYINFO-26-494000
Jun 26, 2026, 7:08 AM UTC · 17m ago
Implied probability
Bid
89¢
Ask
92¢
Spread
3¢
24h volume
$557
Family rank
Standalone
Standalone contract
Closes
Mar 1, 2027
Family volume
$557
Orderbook snapshot
89 / 92¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If there are more than 447,000 layoffs in the information sector in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Mar 1, 2027
Identifier
KXLAYOFFSYINFO-26-494000
Event family
KXLAYOFFSYINFO-26.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$557
Outcomes
1
Highest price
Yes 89¢
Current share
100%
Yes
kalshi · KXLAYOFFSYINFO-26-494000
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.341
Observability
low
Event type
data_release
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 92% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.