Yes · KXLAYOFFSYPBS-26
Yes is priced at 66¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 60¢ bid, 66¢ ask, 6¢ spread. This page tracks a standalone prediction-market contract.
Price history
66¢ current
−8¢Contract brief
If the total number of layoffs and discharges in the Professional and Business Services sector during calendar year 2026 is greater than 5,497,000, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Yes
Rank
Standalone
Leader
—
Range
—
Family volume
$0
Identifier
KXLAYOFFSYPBS-26-5497000
Jun 24, 2026, 8:38 PM UTC · 14m ago
Implied probability
Bid
60¢
Ask
66¢
Spread
6¢
Reported volume
$56K
Family rank
Standalone
Standalone contract
Closes
Mar 1, 2027
Family volume
$0
Orderbook snapshot
60 / 66¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the total number of layoffs and discharges in the Professional and Business Services sector during calendar year 2026 is greater than 5,497,000, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Mar 1, 2027
Identifier
KXLAYOFFSYPBS-26-5497000
Event family
KXLAYOFFSYPBS-26.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$0
Outcomes
1
Highest price
Yes 60¢
Current share
—
Yes
kalshi · KXLAYOFFSYPBS-26-5497000
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.35
Observability
low
Event type
data_release
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 66% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.