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Over 2.5 1H goals scored

Over 2.5 1H goals scored is priced at 18¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 17¢ bid, 18¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 4 inside KXWC1HTOTAL-26JUN25TUNNED.

Price history

18¢ current

+16¢
0¢10¢20¢
Jun 6, 2026Jun 23, 2026

Contract brief

If the total goals scored by Tunisia and Netherlands is more than 2.5 goals in the 1st Half of the Tunisia vs Netherlands professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Over 2.5 1H goals scored

Rank

#3 of 4

Leader

Over 0.5 1H goals scored 78¢

Range

5¢-78¢

Family volume

$697

Identifier

KXWC1HTOTAL-26JUN25TUNNED-3

Jun 23, 2026, 7:08 AM UTC · 18m ago

Implied probability

18¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 23, 2026, 7:08 AM UTC · 18m ago

Bid

17¢

Ask

18¢

Spread

24h volume

$558

Family rank

#3 of 4

4 outcomes · KXWC1HTOTAL-26JUN25TUNNED

Closes

Jul 9, 2026

Family volume

$697

Orderbook snapshot

17 / 18¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
17¢481
16¢1.7K
15¢11K
14¢18K
13¢961
AskSize
18¢583
19¢935
20¢1.1K
21¢527
22¢11K

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the total goals scored by Tunisia and Netherlands is more than 2.5 goals in the 1st Half of the Tunisia vs Netherlands professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jul 9, 2026

Identifier

KXWC1HTOTAL-26JUN25TUNNED-3

SF Signal
SF Index
5347.99
Regime
neutral

Event family

KXWC1HTOTAL-26JUN25TUNNED.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$697

Outcomes

4

Highest price

Over 0.5 1H goals scored 78¢

Current share

80%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

10696.0%

IY (No)

448.7%

Adj IY

5348%

CRI

5

Overround

0.4%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

10696.0%
448.7%
Adj IY
5348%
5
Overround
0.4%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.