Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?
This contract is priced at 4¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 3¢ bid, 4¢ ask, 1¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
2
Family volume
$124K
Best sibling
December 31, 2026 17¢
Ticker
0x56f429da…6dae
Price history
4¢ current
−1¢Orderbook snapshot
3 / 4¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pedro Sánchez ceases to be Prime Minister of Spain for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Pedro Sánchez's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pedro Sánchez and the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Jun 30, 2026
Identifier
0x56f429da…6dae
Event family
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$124K
Outcomes
2
Highest price
December 31, 2026 17¢
Current share
64%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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