Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?
This contract is priced at 12¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 11¢ bid, 13¢ ask, 2¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
1
Family volume
$120K
Best sibling
—
Ticker
0x269b4de5…75a8
Price history
12¢ current
−9¢Orderbook snapshot
11 / 13¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Jun 30, 2026
Identifier
0x269b4de5…75a8
Event family
This market.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$120K
Outcomes
1
Highest price
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30 12¢
Current share
100%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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