Philadelphia wins by over 1.5 points
Philadelphia wins by over 1.5 points is priced at 50¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 49¢ bid, 52¢ ask, 3¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 16 inside KXNFLSPREAD-26AUG15PHIBAL.
Price history
50¢ current
+33¢Contract brief
If Philadelphia wins by more than 1.5 points in the Philadelphia vs Baltimore Pro Football game originally scheduled for Aug 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Philadelphia wins by over 1.5 points
Rank
#1 of 16
Leader
Philadelphia wins by over 1.5 points 49¢
Range
6¢-49¢
Family volume
$760
Identifier
KXNFLSPREAD-26AUG15PHIBAL-PHI2
Aug 10, 2026, 9:08 AM UTC · 25m ago
Implied probability
Bid
49¢
Ask
52¢
Spread
3¢
24h volume
$26
Family rank
#1 of 16
16 outcomes · KXNFLSPREAD-26AUG15PHIBAL
Closes
Aug 17, 2026
Family volume
$760
Orderbook snapshot
49 / 52¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Philadelphia wins by more than 1.5 points in the Philadelphia vs Baltimore Pro Football game originally scheduled for Aug 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Aug 17, 2026
Identifier
KXNFLSPREAD-26AUG15PHIBAL-PHI2
Event family
KXNFLSPREAD-26AUG15PHIBAL.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$760
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Philadelphia wins by over 1.5 points 49¢
Current share
3%
Philadelphia wins by over 1.5 points
kalshi · KXNFLSPREAD-26AUG15PHIBAL-PHI2
Philadelphia wins by over 2.5 points
kalshi · KXNFLSPREAD-26AUG15PHIBAL-PHI3
Baltimore wins by over 1.5 points
kalshi · KXNFLSPREAD-26AUG15PHIBAL-BAL2
Baltimore wins by over 2.5 points
kalshi · KXNFLSPREAD-26AUG15PHIBAL-BAL3
Baltimore wins by over 3.5 points
kalshi · KXNFLSPREAD-26AUG15PHIBAL-BAL4
Baltimore wins by over 4.5 points
kalshi · KXNFLSPREAD-26AUG15PHIBAL-BAL5
Philadelphia wins by over 7.5 points
kalshi · KXNFLSPREAD-26AUG15PHIBAL-PHI8
Baltimore wins by over 5.5 points
kalshi · KXNFLSPREAD-26AUG15PHIBAL-BAL6
Philadelphia wins by over 10.5 points
kalshi · KXNFLSPREAD-26AUG15PHIBAL-PHI11
Baltimore wins by over 7.5 points
kalshi · KXNFLSPREAD-26AUG15PHIBAL-BAL8
Baltimore wins by over 10.5 points
kalshi · KXNFLSPREAD-26AUG15PHIBAL-BAL11
Baltimore wins by over 9.5 points
kalshi · KXNFLSPREAD-26AUG15PHIBAL-BAL10
Philadelphia wins by over 16.5 points
kalshi · KXNFLSPREAD-26AUG15PHIBAL-PHI17
Baltimore wins by over 13.5 points
kalshi · KXNFLSPREAD-26AUG15PHIBAL-BAL14
Baltimore wins by over 14.5 points
kalshi · KXNFLSPREAD-26AUG15PHIBAL-BAL15
Philadelphia wins by over 20.5 points
kalshi · KXNFLSPREAD-26AUG15PHIBAL-PHI21
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.