Above 6 inches · Rain in Houston in Jul 2026?: Above
Above 6 inches is priced at 21¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 14¢ bid, 28¢ ask, 14¢ spread. This outcome ranks #6 of 7 inside Rain in Houston in Jul 2026?: Above.
Price history
21¢ current
+3¢Contract brief
If the total precipitation at CLIHOU in Houston in Jul 2026 is strictly greater than 6 inches, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Above 6 inches
Rank
#6 of 7
Leader
Above 1 inch 99¢
Range
11¢-99¢
Family volume
$976
Identifier
KXRAINHOUM-26JUL-6
Jul 12, 2026, 12:38 PM UTC · 19m ago
Implied probability
Bid
14¢
Ask
28¢
Spread
14¢
24h volume
$94
Family rank
#6 of 7
7 outcomes · Rain in Houston in Jul 2026?: Above
Closes
Aug 1, 2026
Family volume
$976
Orderbook snapshot
14 / 28¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the total precipitation at CLIHOU in Houston in Jul 2026 is strictly greater than 6 inches, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Aug 1, 2026
Identifier
KXRAINHOUM-26JUL-6
Event family
Rain in Houston in Jul 2026?: Above.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$976
Outcomes
7
Highest price
Above 1 inch 99¢
Current share
10%
Above 1 inch
kalshi · KXRAINHOUM-26JUL-1
Above 2 inches
kalshi · KXRAINHOUM-26JUL-2
Above 3 inches
kalshi · KXRAINHOUM-26JUL-3
Above 4 inches
kalshi · KXRAINHOUM-26JUL-4
Above 5 inches
kalshi · KXRAINHOUM-26JUL-5
Above 6 inches
kalshi · KXRAINHOUM-26JUL-6
Above 7 inches
kalshi · KXRAINHOUM-26JUL-7
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.341
Observability
low
Event type
weather
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.