score or assist for Rodri
Rodri is priced at 13¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 8¢ bid, 13¢ ask, 5¢ spread. This outcome ranks #8 of 12 inside KXWCSOA-26JUL14FRAESP.
Price history
13¢ current
+5¢Contract brief
If Rodri records a goal or assist during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the France vs Spain professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Rodri
Rank
#8 of 12
Leader
Kylian Mbappe 58¢
Range
3¢-58¢
Family volume
$124K
Identifier
KXWCSOA-26JUL14FRAESP-ESPRODR16
Jul 12, 2026, 8:08 PM UTC · 5m ago
Implied probability
Bid
8¢
Ask
13¢
Spread
5¢
24h volume
$801
Family rank
#8 of 12
12 outcomes · KXWCSOA-26JUL14FRAESP
Closes
Jul 28, 2026
Family volume
$124K
Orderbook snapshot
8 / 13¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Rodri records a goal or assist during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the France vs Spain professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 28, 2026
Identifier
KXWCSOA-26JUL14FRAESP-ESPRODR16
Event family
KXWCSOA-26JUL14FRAESP.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$124K
Outcomes
12
Highest price
Kylian Mbappe 58¢
Current share
1%
Kylian Mbappe
kalshi · KXWCSOA-26JUL14FRAESP-FRAKMBAPP10
Lamine Yamal
kalshi · KXWCSOA-26JUL14FRAESP-ESPLYAMAL10
Michael Olise
kalshi · KXWCSOA-26JUL14FRAESP-FRAMOLISE17
Ousmane Dembele
kalshi · KXWCSOA-26JUL14FRAESP-FRAODEMBE10
Mikel Oyarzabal
kalshi · KXWCSOA-26JUL14FRAESP-ESPMOYARZ10
Dani Olmo
kalshi · KXWCSOA-26JUL14FRAESP-ESPDOLMO20
Desire Doue
kalshi · KXWCSOA-26JUL14FRAESP-FRADDOUE14
Rodri
kalshi · KXWCSOA-26JUL14FRAESP-ESPRODR16
Marc Cucurella
kalshi · KXWCSOA-26JUL14FRAESP-ESPMCUCUR3
Jules Kounde
kalshi · KXWCSOA-26JUL14FRAESP-FRAJKOUND23
Aurelien Tchouameni
kalshi · KXWCSOA-26JUL14FRAESP-FRAATCHOU14
Pedri
kalshi · KXWCSOA-26JUL14FRAESP-ESPPEDR8
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.