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South Dakota St. wins FCS National Championship in 2026-27 season: South Dakota St · KXNCAAFFCS-27

South Dakota St. wins FCS National Championship in 2026-27 season: South Dakota St. is priced at 27¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 30¢ bid, 37¢ ask, 7¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 16 inside KXNCAAFFCS-27.

Price history

27¢ current

+19¢
10¢20¢30¢
Sep 10, 2026Oct 8, 2026

Contract brief

If the South Dakota St. college football team wins the FCS National Championship in the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

South Dakota St. wins FCS National Championship in 2026-27 season: South Dakota St.

Rank

#1 of 16

Leader

South Dakota St. wins FCS National Championship in 2026-27 season: South Dakota St. 30¢

Range

1¢-30¢

Family volume

$107

Identifier

KXNCAAFFCS-27-SDST

Oct 8, 2026, 5:08 PM UTC · 23h ago

Implied probability

27¢
Latest venue quote
Oct 8, 2026, 5:08 PM UTC · 23h ago

Bid

30¢

Ask

37¢

Spread

7¢

24h volume

$39

Family rank

#1 of 16

16 outcomes · KXNCAAFFCS-27

Closes

Jan 26, 2027

Family volume

$107

Orderbook snapshot

30 / 37¢

Kalshi
7¢ spread
BidSize
30¢140
29¢1
27¢175
23¢195
20¢250
AskSize
37¢100
52¢17
53¢29
54¢56
55¢24K

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the South Dakota St. college football team wins the FCS National Championship in the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jan 26, 2027

Identifier

KXNCAAFFCS-27-SDST

SF Signal
SF Index
472.59
Regime
neutral

Event family

KXNCAAFFCS-27.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$107

Outcomes

16

Highest price

South Dakota St. wins FCS National Championship in 2026-27 season: South Dakota St. 30¢

Current share

36%

OutcomePriceVolume24hDepth

South Dakota St. wins FCS National Championship in 2026-27 season: South Dakota St.

kalshi · KXNCAAFFCS-27-SDST

30¢
$39$0—

Montana St. wins FCS National Championship in 2026-27 season: Montana St.

kalshi · KXNCAAFFCS-27-MTST

27¢
$13$1040.4

Montana wins FCS National Championship in 2026-27 season: Montana

kalshi · KXNCAAFFCS-27-MONT

10¢
$0$50—

Tarleton St. wins FCS National Championship in 2026-27 season: Tarleton St.

kalshi · KXNCAAFFCS-27-TARL

3¢
$0$6—

Alabama St. wins FCS National Championship in 2026-27 season: Alabama St.

kalshi · KXNCAAFFCS-27-ALST

2¢
$0$0—

Cal Poly wins FCS National Championship in 2026-27 season: Cal Poly

kalshi · KXNCAAFFCS-27-CP

2¢
$0$0—

Elon wins FCS National Championship in 2026-27 season: Elon

kalshi · KXNCAAFFCS-27-ELON

2¢
$0$0—

Idaho St. wins FCS National Championship in 2026-27 season: Idaho St.

kalshi · KXNCAAFFCS-27-IDST

2¢
$0$0—

Alabama A&M wins FCS National Championship in 2026-27 season: Alabama A&M

kalshi · KXNCAAFFCS-27-AAMU

1¢
$0$0—

Austin Peay wins FCS National Championship in 2026-27 season: Austin Peay

kalshi · KXNCAAFFCS-27-PEAY

1¢
$0$0—

Campbell wins FCS National Championship in 2026-27 season: Campbell

kalshi · KXNCAAFFCS-27-CAMP

1¢
$0$0—

Charleston Southern wins FCS National Championship in 2026-27 season: Charleston Southern

kalshi · KXNCAAFFCS-27-CHSO

1¢
$0$0—

Eastern Washington wins FCS National Championship in 2026-27 season: Eastern Washington

kalshi · KXNCAAFFCS-27-EWU

1¢
$0$0—

Harvard wins FCS National Championship in 2026-27 season: Harvard

kalshi · KXNCAAFFCS-27-HARV

1¢
$0$0—

Idaho wins FCS National Championship in 2026-27 season: Idaho

kalshi · KXNCAAFFCS-27-IDHO

1¢
$0$0—

Illinois St. wins FCS National Championship in 2026-27 season: Illinois St.

kalshi · KXNCAAFFCS-27-ILST

1¢
$0$0—

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

945.2%

IY (No)

116.7%

Adj IY

473%

CRI

3

Overround

0.1%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

945.2%
116.7%
Adj IY
473%
3
Overround
0.1%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.